That’s a bold political moment. With Governor Sheriff Oborevwori reportedly crossing over to the APC, it marks a significant win for President Tinubu’s administration—especially as he becomes the first opposition governor to make the jump.
Now, The Big Question: Who Might Be Next?
Let’s briefly look at the names you mentioned and the likelihood based on current political dynamics:
1. Peter Mbah (Enugu – PDP):
Recently elected and still consolidating his grip on power. No strong signals yet of defection, but politics is fluid in the Southeast.
2. Umo Eno (Akwa Ibom – PDP):
A close protégé of Udom Emmanuel. Strong PDP base, but if federal influence starts shifting economic pressure, he could feel the heat.
3. Sim Fubara (Rivers – PDP):
Currently locked in a deep power struggle with his predecessor Nyesom Wike (now APC). If the fallout worsens and Tinubu offers political shelter, this could happen.
4. Caleb Mutfwang (Plateau – PDP):
Plateau has a history of party shifts. While Mutfwang is holding firm now, rising insecurity or political pressure could make him a candidate to watch.
5. Alex Otti (Abia – Labour Party):
As a non-PDP name here, his defection would be more shocking. However, being a lone LP governor in a rising APC tide could isolate him. Still unlikely—for now.
6. Abba Kabir Yusuf (Kano – NNPP):
Backed by Rabiu Kwankwaso, who’s maintaining distance from both PDP and APC. A defection would require a major realignment in Kano politics.
7. Ahmadu Umaru Fintiri (Adamawa – PDP):
Solid PDP figure with good federal relationships. Not showing signs of a shift, but like with others, anything is possible post-2027.
8. Agbu Kefas (Taraba – PDP):
Relatively quiet governor. No loud opposition to the center so far. Could be swayed if federal incentives are sweet enough.
Top 3 Most Likely (as of now):
- Sim Fubara (Rivers)
- Umo Eno (Akwa Ibom)
- Agbu Kefas (Taraba)
This could turn into a domino effect—once one or two more governors defect, fence-sitters may join in. Full Details
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